A Climate ‘Shock’ Is Eroding Some Home Values. New Data Shows How Much. [US data]

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www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/11/19/climate/…

Canadians will have to live with the idea that humanity has failed to avoid a 1.5 C increase in temperature. We’re on course for more violent storms and other climate related challenges. Sadly, we cannot avoid the worst that Climate Change has in store for us, but we can at least start to either incentivize or impose stronger standards to building practices.

These can include neighbourhoods with more robust water engineering/control, resilient roofs, doors, windows, fences against wind or fire, and a re-evaluation of how appropriate it is building 6+ storey condominiums out of wood.

She considered selling, but found herself in a dilemma. As insurance costs have risen, area home values have fallen, dropping by 38 percent since 2020. The roadsides around her house are dotted with for-sale signs.

“They won’t insure you,” Ms. Rojas said. “No one will buy from you. You’re kind of stuck where you are.”

“Homeowners don’t appreciate or don’t understand that we are living in a much riskier world than we were 25 years ago,” Dr. Keys said. “And that risk? They have to pay for it.”

After analyzing 74 million home payments — which included mortgage, taxes and insurance and were made between 2014 and 2024 — the researchers found that a rapid repricing of disaster risk had been responsible for about a fifth of overall home insurance increases since 2017. Another third could be explained by rising construction costs.

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Climate change is going to force migration from certain areas. Whether that happens through a planned, humanitarian process or through crushing poverty enacted by insurance markets is up to us.

Sure. Americans want to live in fairy tale land where everything is fine and no changes are necessary. But eventually they will be forced to choose.




“We’ve consistently voted Republican, they try nothing, and we’re out of ideas.”

What’s the Midwest got going on that’s driving up the costs?

Hail and wind

More tornadoes too I think. More intense rain at times.

Hail. Yes and constant stream of questionable roofers coming to your door.


That’s what I was thinking. Crazy.




It certainly couldn’t have anything to do with the economy


It’s really hurting us in Colorado. We’ve had a huge increase in hail the past few years which has caused our insurance premiums to skyrocket across the state for home and auto both.

We paid extra out of our own pocket to upgrade to hail resistant shingles in our last claim, so now insurance will replace like for like if it happens again, and hopefully also reduces the risk of damage and the need for a claim. Doesn’t impact the premium though, lol.

https://www.onpointcontractingusa.com/blog/hail-damage-in-colorado/

  • During 2023, reports of baseball-sized hail (over 3 inches) in Colorado surged nearly threefold since 2019, climbing from 12 to 34, pointing to more frequent extreme hail events.

  • Similarly, reports of softball-sized hail (approximately 4 inches) increased to 13 in 2023, according to NWS Denver, nearly tripling earlier counts and signaling a worrying escalation in storm intensity.

Aside from property damage, I imagine that it kinda sucks to be caught outside if softball-sized hail is coming down.



So glad to live in the Pacific Northwest. (Please no big earthquakes, please no big earthquakes….)


It’s also possible to make homes resistant to disasters, but that also costs money itself. A lighthouse is an extreme example — it can ignore wind-blown hurricane debris and flooding.

But they are not cheap to build.


Aside from Florida, this is just a map of how expensive land is (or isn’t).

I wish. I I’d be buying half the PNW if that was the case.


It’s a combination of that with areas prone to floods, strong winds and forest fires.

The heat map shows insurance in California is cheap. Between fire, flood, and earthquake insurance, and being HCOL, I can assure it is not. If you can find it at all. And LA is still smoldering from the fires last January.

The property values are insanely high in California, which makes insurance as a percent of property values seem low, even if it isn’t in absolute terms.

A million-dollar condo by the coast pays more in insurance than an identical condo in a LCOL area, but the property value masks that when considered as a percent.

Hence my original comment.

Redo this as insurance cost per square foot and it’d be much more useful.




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